DeepCap Weekly Wrap

Bank of Japan's rate hike reshinvestors global market dynamics and investor sentiment

DeepCap Weekly Wrap

The Week at a Glance

🎯 Theme: Bank of Japan’s rate hike reshinvestors global market dynamics and investor sentiment
📊 Risk Mood: Cautious (VIX 14.91)
💡 Key Takeaway: Investor focus on central bank policies suggests volatility may continue as rates adjust.
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Top 5 Headlines That Shaped the Week

  1. Bank of Japan raises benchmark rates to highest in 30 years, lifting 10-year JGB yield past 2%
    This decision impacted global bond markets and influenced currency valuations, particularly the yen.
  2. Yen weakens against peers after BOJ raises interest rates
    The yen’s decline affected investor sentiment across multiple markets, contributing to broader currency movements.
  3. ECB upgrades growth outlook, closing door to more cuts
    This shift in policy signals stability in the Eurozone, positively influencing European market performance.
  4. Stocks rise with tech boost, yen weakens after Japan rate hike
    The tech sector’s strength drove US indices higher, reflecting investor optimism amid global rate changes.
  5. Charting the Global Economy: ECB, UK, BOJ Diverge on Rate Moves
    Diverging monetary policies among major central banks shinvestord market expectations and investment strategies for the week.

The Week in Review

The Big Picture
This week’s dominant theme was central-bank divergence, with the Bank of Japan’s surprise rate normalization driving cross-asset moves and reshaping yield relationships. The BOJ pushed policy rates to 30-year highs and sent 10-year JGB yields above 2%, prompting yen weakness and a global re-pricing of duration that lifted German 10-year yields to 2.9% while US 10-year yields sat near 4.14%. Equities absorbed the shift: risk appetite held—VIX eased to 14.91—but the backdrop favored carry and cyclical exposure over defensive, low-yield profiles. FX and bond spreads tightened in places; EUR/USD held at 1.17 while short-term European rates (EURIBOR 3M at 2.04) remain comparatively depressed, underlining uneven policy cycles between the US, Europe and Japan.

US Markets
US benchmarks diverged: the S&P 500 rose 0.26%, the Nasdaq gained 1.09% and the Dow fell 0.58%. Tech outperformed, driving the Nasdaq’s edge, while industrials and large-cap value lagged—helping explain the Dow’s dip. Key drivers were the BOJ-led global rates repricing, ongoing corporate earnings that favored select growth names, and political noise as President Trump highlighted economic themes in North Carolina; data and Fed commentary played a supporting role rather than a headline-grabber. Single-stock moves were extreme: Trump Media jumped, Rivian and CoreWeave rallied, while Nike and Warner Bros. Discovery posted notable declines.

EU Markets
European equities outpaced the US marginally: STOXX 600 +0.85%, DAX +0.24%, FTSE 100 +1.5%. The region reacted to the BOJ move via tighter core yields and a firmer backdrop for cyclicals, but ECB and UK rate paths remain the local reference points—investors parsed euro-area growth risks against energy and policy dynamics. The FTSE’s strength reflected commodity and energy components, while German markets showed restraint as bund yields climbed to elevated levels. Political narratives and structural debates in Europe also framed flows, keeping the drumbeat on policy divergence.

5-Day Market Performance

🇺🇸 US Markets

  • S&P 500
    +0.26%
  • Nasdaq
    +1.09%
  • Dow Jones
    -0.58%

🇪🇺 EU Markets

  • STOXX 600
    +0.85%
  • DAX
    +0.24%
  • FTSE 100
    +1.5%

Weekly Market Movers

📈 Week’s Top Gainers

  • Trump Media & Technology Group — +53.82%
  • Amicus Therapeutics, Inc. — +30.33%
  • Rivian Automotive, Inc. — +20.05%
  • Ondas Holdings Inc. — +19.9%
  • CoreWeave, Inc. — +14.72%
  • Infosys Limited — +13.72%
  • Carnival Corporation — +8.81%
  • Wipro Limited — +8.51%

📉 Week’s Top Losers

  • Nike, Inc. — -13.38%
  • Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. – — -6.53%
  • MARA Holdings, Inc. — -4.86%
  • Pfizer, Inc. — -4.69%
  • Walmart Inc. — -2.08%
  • Intel Corporation — -1.84%
  • GlobalFoundries Inc. — -1.64%
  • Ferrovial SE — -1.57%

Macro Dashboard

Indicator Level Δ d/d Δ w/w 52W Range Signal
VIX 14.91 -11.62% -5.27% 14.85–17.62 📉 Subdued
EUR/USD 1.17 0.0% Neutral
EURIBOR 3M 2.04% -0.49% -2.86% 2.03–2.1 📉 Easing
US 10Y 4.14% +0.49% -0.96% 4.07–4.19 Neutral
DE 10Y 2.9% +1.75% +1.4% 2.75–2.9 📈 Bid

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⚠️ Weekend Watch

Key developments to monitor before markets reopen:

  • Monitor tensions in Eastern Europe as leaders meet over the weekend, impacting energy markets and geopolitical stability.
  • Watch for key economic data from Japan on Sunday night, following the recent rate hike and yen fluctuations.
  • Pay attention to any pre-announcements from major companies, particularly in tech, as earnings season approaches.
  • Listen for comments from Fed officials over the weekend, which may influence market expectations ahead of next week’s meetings.
  • Consider options expiry effects on Monday, as positioning may lead to increased volatility in key sectors.
📰 This Week’s Headlines (6 themes)

Rates, Central Banks & Mortgages

Multiple headlines focus on the Bank of Japan’s rate lift and broader central-bank divergence and FX/rates reactions.

Rates, Central Banks & Mortgages

Central-bank decisions and interest-rate moves are driving FX, bond and rate-market reactions across the globe.

Rates, Central Banks & Mortgages

Coverage driven by central-bank actions, nominations and implications for the rate path and job-market focus.

Trade & Diplomacy

Policy moves intended to blunt trade friction and tariffs between major economies.

Trade & Diplomacy

International policy moves affecting cross-border finance and collective action among governments.

Other Market News

Additional headlines across various market themes.

Social Week-in-Review

What the community was discussing this week:

This content is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. Markets carry risk. Do your own research.