Let's Shape The Future Of Your Investments!
Beat the market with DeepCap's stock picks and investment strategies.
DeepCap Wednesday Outlook
The Day at a Glance
| π― | Theme: Iran conflict drives Asia selloff as markets price energy shock risks |
| π | Risk Mood: Elevated (VIX 23.57, +9.93%) |
| β° | Key Event: CPI inflation data release |
| π₯ | DeepCap Focus: [Premium] See DeepList Watch β |
Key Headlines
-
Australia’s Growth Accelerates, Bolstering Case for RBA to Raise Rates
Central bank policy positioning and rate expectations amid crisis conditions. -
Bank of Japan chief vows to keep raising rates with eye on Middle East conflict
Central bank policy responses and rate movements amid Middle East conflict uncertainty. -
What Hotels Are Telling Us About America’s Economy
Economic indicators and growth outlook amid geopolitical uncertainty.
The Day Ahead
Yesterday’s Takeaway
Asia’s broad selloff dominated global sentiment as South Korea’s Kospi crashed 12% amid escalating Iran conflict fears. The rout spread beyond geopolitical hotspots, with Goldman’s CEO warning markets need weeks to digest war impacts while bond markets dumped duration on inflation concerns. This setup points to continued risk-off flows today, with energy and defense names likely finding support while growth stocks face pressure.
The Setup
Risk indicators are flashing elevated stress across the board. The VIX spiked nearly 10% to 23.57βhitting fresh 52-week highsβwhile bond yields surged with US 10-year rates touching 4.08% and German bunds climbing to 2.77%. The dollar strengthened against the euro, which dropped 0.85% to 1.16, as safe-haven flows accelerated. This divergence between spiking volatility and rising yields suggests markets are pricing both geopolitical risk and persistent inflation fears simultaneously.
Today’s Watch
China’s foreign exchange reserves data at 8:00 AM local time could signal Beijing’s intervention appetite as yuan pressure mounts. More critically, Colombia’s February inflation readings overnight may preview broader emerging market price pressures that could complicate central bank dovish pivots. CFTC positioning data after the close will reveal whether crude oil longs added to their 172.7K contracts amid Middle East tensions. Focus remains on whether yesterday’s tech selloffβMongoDB down 22%, Sea Limited falling 16%βextends into today’s session, or if defensive rotation into names like AeroVironment continues.
Market Movers
π Top Gainers
- Kontoor Brands, Inc. β +20.61%
- Ingram Micro Holding Corporatio β +14.33%
- Intapp, Inc. β +11.52%
- Tidewater Inc. β +9.77%
- AeroVironment, Inc. β +9.59%
- Pinterest, Inc. β +9.27%
- Select Medical Holdings Corpora β +8.4%
- Workday, Inc. β +7.16%
π Top Losers
- MongoDB, Inc. β -22.24%
- StoneCo Ltd. β -19.38%
- Life360, Inc. β -18.26%
- Sea Limited β -16.53%
- Alamo Group, Inc. β -15.42%
- Credo Technology Group Holding β -14.81%
- Hycroft Mining Holding Corporat β -12.97%
- D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater Limite β -12.01%
Key Events Today
| Date | Region | Event | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 03/06 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos | πΈ Med |
| Fri 03/06 | US | Unemployment Rate | πΈ Med |
| Fri 03/06 | US | U-6 Unemployment Rate | πΈ Med |
| Fri 03/06 | CA | PMI | πΈ Med |
| Fri 03/06 | CA | Ivey PMI s.a | πΈ Med |
| Fri 03/06 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos | πΈ Med |
Fed Speak This Week
- March 6 β ECB Schnabel Speech
- March 6 β Fed Hammack Speech
- March 6 β RBA Hauser Speech
Macro Dashboard
| Indicator | Level | Ξ d/d | Ξ w/w | 52W Range | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VIX | 23.57 | +9.93% | +20.56% | 17.93β23.57 | β οΈ Elevated |
| EUR/USD | 1.16 | -0.85% | β | β | Neutral |
| EURIBOR 3M | 2.03% | +1.0% | +0.5% | 2.0β2.04 | Neutral |
| US 10Y | 4.08% | +0.25% | +0.74% | 3.95β4.09 | π Bid |
| DE 10Y | 2.77% | +2.21% | +2.21% | 2.66β2.77 | π Bid |
Premium
*Premium* β DeepCap Conviction
*Premium* β Key Levels to Watch
*Premium* β EU DeepList Watch
*Premium* β US DeepList Watch
*Premium* β Risk Scenarios
π° Yesterday’s Headlines (6 themes)
Rates, Central Banks & Mortgages
Central bank policy positioning and rate expectations amid crisis conditions.
- Australia’s Growth Accelerates, Bolstering Case for RBA to Raise Rates β WSJ
- Bond markets dominated by inflation fear, prompting rate-cut bets to fall β Reuters, 03/03/2026
Rates, Central Banks & Mortgages
Central bank policy responses and rate movements amid Middle East conflict uncertainty.
- Bank of Japan chief vows to keep raising rates with eye on Middle East conflict β Reuters, 03/04/2026
- ECB should sit tight on rates amid uncertain war fallout, Kazaks says β Reuters, 03/03/2026
- Mortgage rates jump sharply higher after Iran strikes, reversing last week’s decline β CNBC, 03/02/2026
Macro: Labor, Consumers & Growth
Economic indicators and growth outlook amid geopolitical uncertainty.
- What Hotels Are Telling Us About America’s Economy β WSJ
- Global Economy Is Facing the Prospect of Another Profound Shock β The New York Times, 03/03/2026
- Iran war fallout: Shock-hit economy rattles policymakers β Axios, 03/03/2026
Macro: Labor, Consumers & Growth
Regional economic growth and conflict impact on economic fundamentals.
- Danish Economy to Outpace Nordics Despite Novo Woes, Danske Says β Bloomberg, 03/04/2026
- Australia economy picks up speed in Q4 but headwinds intensifying β Reuters, 03/04/2026
- How will a prolonged war in Iran impact India’s economy and remittances? β CNBC, 03/04/2026
Macro: Labor, Consumers & Growth
Economic growth concerns highlighted by regional cooling under monetary policy pressure.
- Brazil’s economy cooled in 2025 under weight of high interest rates β Reuters, 03/03/2026
Other Market News
Additional headlines across various market themes.
- China PMIs Send Mixed Signals as Markets Watch for Stimulus β WSJ, 03/04/2026
- Asia stocks fall for third day, oil edges up as markets track Iran war β BBC, 03/04/2026
- South Korea’s Kospi plunges 12% amid broader declines in Asia markets as Iran conflict rages β CNBC, 03/03/2026
- Investors make a dash for cash as Iran crisis upends markets β Reuters, 03/03/2026
- Middle East Conflict Circles the World’s Markets, Stirring Fears of Stalled Growth, Inflation β WSJ
- Asian Stocks Set to Slip After Oil Extends Rally: Markets Wrap β Bloomberg, 03/04/2026
- Iran conflict: Emerging markets are still in a phase of ‘maximum volatility’, says strategist β CNBC, 03/04/2026
- Rupee falls past 92/dollar to record low on Mideast war, central bank likely steps in β Reuters, 03/04/2026
- Opinion: Get ready for Trump to chicken out on Iran as markets fall and gas prices rise β MarketWatch, 03/03/2026
- ‘Trump mocks Starmer’ and ‘Middle East energy shock for markets’ β BBC, 03/04/2026
Social Media Buzz
For your reading pleasure, not to be treated as advice of any sort.
- The staging of Macron’s speech on nuclear deterrence… Just wow β reddit.com/r/europe, 2026-03-03
- Daily Discussion Thread for March 03, 2026 β reddit.com/r/WallStreetBets, 2026-03-03
- Paramount (PSKY) Debt Downgraded to Junk Following Warner Bros. (WBD) Deal β reddit.com/r/WallStreetBets, 2026-03-03
- Zelenskyy: I believe OrbΓ‘n will lose election and relations with Hungary will be normalised β reddit.com/r/europe, 2026-03-03
- What Are Your Moves Tomorrow, March 04, 2026 β reddit.com/r/WallStreetBets, 2026-03-03
- $950,000,000,000 has been wiped out of the US stock market since open.π» β reddit.com/r/StockMarket, 2026-03-03
- Germany: Attack on NATO states can’t be ruled out after Cyprus strike β reddit.com/r/europe, 2026-03-03
- Trump is escorting Tankers with destroyers and forcing insurers to insure. β reddit.com/r/StockMarket, 2026-03-03