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DeepCap Weekly Wrap
The Week at a Glance
| π― | Theme: Trade barriers and economic slowdown shinvestord market sentiment this week. |
| π | Risk Mood: Cautious (VIX 19.09) |
| π‘ | Key Takeaway: Market reactions indicate growing concerns over trade impacts and economic stability. |
| π₯ | DeepCap Focus: [Premium] See DeepList Weekly Performance β |
Top 5 Headlines That Shaped the Week
-
U.S. Economy Grew By 1.4% in the Fourth Quarter of 2025.
This headline highlighted weaker-than-expected economic growth, impacting market sentiment and driving cautious trading. -
Stocks Rise Anew, Bonds Fall on Trump Tariff Talk: Markets Wrap
Trump’s tariff discussions influenced stock market gains while causing bond yields to rise, affecting multiple asset classes. -
Businesses face uncertainty as Supreme Court strikes down Trump tariffs
The ruling created volatility in markets, affecting trade-related sectors and raising concerns about future economic policies. -
US economy slows to 1.4% GDP growth in Q4
This news reinforced fears of economic slowdown, impacting investor confidence and market performance throughout the week. -
Global Markets No More: Trade Barriers Mess With Commodities From Metals to Oil
Trade barriers affected commodity prices and market dynamics, leading to broader implications for global economic stability.
The Week in Review
The Big Picture
This weekβs theme was growth thatβs slowing but not collapsing β enough to nudge market pricing for policy without forcing a rout. US data showed the economy expanded modestly in Q4 (about 1.4%), and markets parsed that as a reason to ease the odds of further Fed aggression rather than an all-clear for rate cuts. Equities rose modestly, the VIX fell to 19.09 (-5.6%), and the 10-year Treasury dipped to 4.09 as yields retraced some of the earlier move higher. Cross-asset implications were plain: equities and credit found traction on a softer growth read while FX and European rates stayed anchored by regional policy and energy-friction headlines β trade barriers and tariff stories kept commodity-linked segments sensitive.
US Markets
The S&P 500 climbed 1.07%, the Nasdaq led with a 1.51% gain and the Dow lagged at +0.25%. The advance was broad but not uniform: software and select biotech winners contrasted with weakness in some hardware and retail names β Intel and Walmart were among notable laggards. Earnings and the growth print drove intraday moves; positioning adjusted around Fed-speak and softer activity data rather than a single catalytic event.
EU Markets
Europe outpaced the US: the STOXX 600 rose 1.95%, Germanyβs DAX gained 1.85% and the FTSE 100 jumped 2.04%. That outperformance reflected a mix of energy and dividend-heavy leadership plus relief that ECB-related front-end funding costs held steady; Euribor 3M sits around 2.02 while the German 10-year fell to 2.74. Regional drivers included energy and trade-friction headlines and local political developments that kept sectoral dispersion higher than in the US.
5-Day Market Performance
πΊπΈ US Markets
-
S&P 500
+1.07% -
Nasdaq
+1.51% -
Dow Jones
+0.25%
πͺπΊ EU Markets
-
STOXX 600
+1.95% -
DAX
+1.85% -
FTSE 100
+2.04%
Weekly Market Movers
π Week’s Top Gainers
- ImmunityBio, Inc. β +46.34%
- Figma, Inc. β +15.8%
- Opendoor Technologies Inc β +12.49%
- Nokia Corporation Sponsored β +10.53%
- Ondas Inc β +7.73%
- Denison Mines Corp β +7.41%
- Snap Inc. β +6.42%
- Amazon.com, Inc. β +5.69%
π Week’s Top Losers
- Blue Owl Capital Inc. β -12.11%
- Walmart Inc. β -8.14%
- CoreWeave, Inc. β -7.07%
- Intel Corporation β -5.73%
- IREN LIMITED β -5.31%
- BitMine Immersion Technologies, β -3.96%
- Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. β -3.46%
- Pfizer, Inc. β -3.37%
Macro Dashboard
| Indicator | Level | Ξ d/d | Ξ w/w | 52W Range | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VIX | 19.09 | -5.64% | -7.33% | 17.36β21.77 | Neutral |
| EUR/USD | 1.18 | 0.0% | β | β | Neutral |
| EURIBOR 3M | 2.02% | 0.0% | +1.0% | 1.98β2.04 | Neutral |
| US 10Y | 4.09% | +0.25% | -0.24% | 4.05β4.28 | π Offered |
| DE 10Y | 2.74% | -0.36% | -0.72% | 2.74β2.89 | π Offered |
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β οΈ Weekend Watch
Key developments to monitor before markets reopen:
- Monitor Ukraine-Russia tensions as military activities escalate ahead of potential peace talks.
- Watch for China’s manufacturing data release, which could impact global supply chains.
- Keep an eye on tech earnings pre-announcements, particularly from major players in AI.
- Fed officials are scheduled to speak, offering insights into future monetary policy.
- Options expiry this weekend may influence market volatility and trader positioning.
π° This Week’s Headlines (6 themes)
Rates, Central Banks & Mortgages
Comments on interest-rate policy and the Fed chair debate that could influence rate expectations and markets.
Trade & Diplomacy
Coverage of tariffs and rising trade barriers that are reshaping commodity flows and global market linkages.
- Here Are the Countries and Products Subject to Tariffs Now β The New York Times
- Global Markets No More: Trade Barriers Mess With Commodities From Metals to Oil β The Wall Street Journal
Trade & Diplomacy
A cluster of headlines on the Supreme Court decision, tariff policy and ongoing trade moves that are driving business uncertainty and market reaction.
- βMurky Watersβ for Global Businesses After Trumpβs Tariff Loss β The New York Times
- Five key takeaways from the Supreme Court’s landmark decision against Trump’s tariffs β CNBC
- Trumpβs Trade Gamble Will Continue, Despite Supreme Court Rebuke β The New York Times
- With Trump’s ‘reciprocal’ tariffs struck down, here are the industries still facing higher rates β CNBC
- Stock Market News, Feb. 20, 2026: Trump Says He Signed Order Imposing 10% Tariff Under Different Authority β The Wall Street Journal
Macro: Labor, Consumers & Growth
Data and opinion pieces focusing on economic growth, distributional effects and policy impacts on the broader economy.
- Ukraineβs economy shows grit amid lasting war damage β Financial Times
- U.S. Economy Grew By 1.4% in the Fourth Quarter of 2025. β Barron’s
- US economy slows in final months after turbulent year β BBC
- US Supreme Court ruling offers little respite for global economy β Reuters
- The U.S. economy has grown faster than anyone predicted. Hereβs why. β MarketWatch
- Over 65? Congratulations, You Own the Economy β The Wall Street Journal
- Opinion | Mass Deportations Sabotage the Economy β The Wall Street Journal
- Billionairesβ Low Taxes Are Becoming a Problem for the Economy β The Wall Street Journal
Macro: Labor, Consumers & Growth
Quarterly GDP and structural pieces about market-driven growth and consumer pullbacks shaping economic outlook.
- U.S. economy slows to 1.4% GDP growth in Q4 β Axios
- The Stock Market Now Drives the Economy. How Much Longer Can That Last? β Barron’s
Other Market News
Additional headlines across various market themes.
- India Has Its Own Unique Recipe for βAI Sovereigntyβ β Bloomberg
- Stocks Rise Anew, Bonds Fall on Trump Tariff Talk: Markets Wrap β Bloomberg
- Partners Group to markets: pls chill OK β Financial Times
- Tech giants commit billions to Indian AI as New Delhi pushes for superpower status β CNBC
- What Moved Markets This Week β Seeking Alpha
- Meet the Trump Official Fighting for Prediction Markets β The Wall Street Journal
- Prediction markets are rife with insider betting β The Economist
- D.C. logs the most exercise in the country, per Apple Watch data β Axios
- Tottenham v Arsenal picks and markets: Over five yellow cards and Solanke to score? β The New York Times
Social Week-in-Review
What the community was discussing this week:
- Iranian Rial has completely collapsed β reddit.com/r/WallStreetBets
- Welcome to Scandinavia! Cruising the imaginary border between Sweden and Norway β reddit.com/r/Europe
- Empty cell β reddit.com/r/europe
- Email blunder exposes $90bn Russian oil smuggling ring β reddit.com/r/Europe
- Trump to Lift Global Tariffs to 15% From 10% Following Court Decision β reddit.com/r/Economics
- What are your thoughts on the new 10% global tariff? β reddit.com/r/StockMarket
- The UK tourist with a valid visa detained by ICE for six weeks β reddit.com/r/europe
- A fight over circumcision is giving Europe a taste of the new US diplomacy β reddit.com/r/Europe