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DeepCap Weekly Wrap
The Week at a Glance
| 🎯 | Theme: Tech selloff and economic uncertainty weigh on US markets despite EU resilience |
| 📊 | Risk Mood: Cautious (VIX 20.6) |
| 💡 | Key Takeaway: Market volatility indicates investors remain wary amid economic and geopolitical challenges. |
| 🔥 | DeepCap Focus: [Premium] See DeepList Weekly Performance → |
Top 5 Headlines That Shaped the Week
-
AI disruption could spark a ‘shock to the system’ in credit markets, UBS analyst says
Concerns over AI’s impact on credit markets contributed to broader market declines. -
Russia’s central bank signals rates to come down further after surprise 50bp cut
The unexpected rate cut influenced global market sentiment and currency movements. -
Bank of England’s Pill sees underlying inflation at 2.5%, rates slightly too low
Comments on inflation and rates affected expectations for future monetary policy in the UK. -
Asia stock markets track losses on Wall Street as AI fears hit sentiment
AI-related fears led to a sell-off that impacted multiple global markets. -
Crises Everywhere, but the Markets Don’t Seem to Mind
Despite various crises, market resilience raised questions about future trends and investor confidence.
The Week in Review
The Big Picture
This week’s dominant theme was a recalibration of risk as a tech-led equity pullback collided with a mild easing in rates and continuing central-bank noise. Nasdaq underperformance reflected profit-taking in large-cap growth names after a bruising stretch for AI-related optimism, even as 10-year U.S. yields slid to about 4.05% and European yields softened; that backdrop kept safer, cyclically oriented assets from suffering a broader rout. Elevated volatility (VIX ~20.6) signaled market caution rather than panic, and a steady EUR/USD near 1.19 left FX broadly neutral. The net: equities digested concentrated tech exposure while cross-asset flows nudged into fixed income and selected cyclicals, tightening the link between rate moves and sector dispersion.
US Markets
The S&P 500 fell 1.85%, the Nasdaq dropped 2.98%, and the Dow lost 1.27% on the week. Tech-led weakness drove the headline divergence—large-cap growth names underperformed, while names tied to industrials and autos showed pockets of strength (Rivian and Ford among weekly gainers). Corporate earnings and a string of economic releases that underscored continued growth—yet mixed labor-market signals—kept traders focused on Fed rate expectations and company-by-company earnings risk. Notable idiosyncratic moves amplified headline indices: Fastly surged over 100% on event-driven flows, while consumer-facing and ad-tech names like Pinterest slumped.
EU Markets
European benchmarks were milder movers: STOXX 600 down 0.6%, DAX down 0.4%, FTSE 100 up 0.58%. The U.K. outperformed as gilt moves and political speculation supported the FTSE, while continental markets tracked softer bond yields and regional central-bank chatter. ECB-relevant pricing softened modestly as EURIBOR 3M traded near 1.98% and Germany’s 10-year yield eased to about 2.76%; Russia’s surprise policy moves and BoE commentary on underlying inflation added idiosyncratic pressure. Energy and financials showed mixed responses to regional developments and corporate issuance, leaving headline European performance relatively contained.
5-Day Market Performance
🇺🇸 US Markets
-
S&P 500
-1.85% -
Nasdaq
-2.98% -
Dow Jones
-1.27%
🇪🇺 EU Markets
-
STOXX 600
-0.6% -
DAX
-0.4% -
FTSE 100
+0.58%
Weekly Market Movers
📈 Week’s Top Gainers
- Fastly, Inc. — +109.4%
- Rivian Automotive, Inc. — +20.69%
- Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) — +14.54%
- AT&T Inc. — +5.83%
- Ford Motor Company — +3.9%
- Kenvue Inc. — +2.86%
- Tesla, Inc. — +0.03%
📉 Week’s Top Losers
- Pinterest, Inc. — -23.44%
- DraftKings Inc. — -20.06%
- Cisco Systems, Inc. — -11.44%
- Plug Power, Inc. — -10.0%
- Ondas Inc — -9.96%
- SoFi Technologies, Inc. — -8.15%
- Palantir Technologies Inc. — -8.05%
- American Airlines Group, Inc. — -7.4%
Macro Dashboard
| Indicator | Level | Δ d/d | Δ w/w | 52W Range | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VIX | 20.6 | -1.06% | +1.13% | 16.15–21.77 | ⚠️ Elevated |
| EUR/USD | 1.19 | 0.0% | — | — | Neutral |
| EURIBOR 3M | 1.98% | -0.5% | -1.98% | 1.98–2.04 | 📉 Easing |
| US 10Y | 4.05% | -1.22% | -4.03% | 4.05–4.28 | 📉 Offered |
| DE 10Y | 2.76% | -0.72% | -2.82% | 2.76–2.89 | 📉 Offered |
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⚠️ Weekend Watch
Key developments to monitor before markets reopen:
- Monitor potential tensions from ongoing geopolitical conflicts, especially in Eastern Europe and the Middle East.
- Watch for key Asian market indicators and data releases that could influence Monday’s trading.
- Keep an eye on earnings pre-announcements from major tech firms that may impact market sentiment.
- Listen for comments from central bank officials that could signal future monetary policy directions.
- Consider options expiry effects and market positioning as they may influence volatility next week.
📰 This Week’s Headlines (6 themes)
Rates, Central Banks & Mortgages
Policy moves and bond-market shifts—from central-bank guidance to UK bond rallies—are driving interest-rate and sovereign/credit sentiment.
- Russia’s central bank signals rates to come down further after surprise 50bp cut — Reuters
- Bank of England’s Pill sees underlying inflation at 2.5%, rates slightly too low — Reuters
- FTSE 100 Live: UK Bonds Have Rallied in Week of Political Speculation — Bloomberg.com
Rates, Central Banks & Mortgages
Central bank policy action and rate decisions signaling economic slowdown and monetary easing.
- Russia’s Central Bank Cuts Rate Again as Economy Slows — The Wall Street Journal
AI/Tech Valuation Jitters
Stories tying AI-related disruption or fears to market and credit volatility, highlighting how AI sentiment is shaping investor behaviour.
- AI disruption could spark a ‘shock to the system’ in credit markets, UBS analyst says — CNBC
- Investors see hope in the economy despite AI fears igniting a turbulent week for markets — MarketWatch
AI/Tech Valuation Jitters
Headlines tying equity weakness in regional markets to renewed AI-fueled selling and investor sentiment.
- Europe Stoxx 600 closes lower after latest AI-driven sell-off — CNBC
- Asia stock markets track losses on Wall Street as AI fears hit sentiment — CNBC
Macro: Labor, Consumers & Growth
Coverage on distributional growth dynamics and the labour market probing where growth is (or isn’t) translating into jobs and broader prosperity.
- K-shaped economy looks more like ‘jaws of a crocodile,’ economist says: What’s widening the gap — CNBC
- The US economy is growing – so where are all the jobs? — BBC
Other Market News
Additional headlines across various market themes.
- Peru’s Economy Is So Far Shrugging Off Electoral Risk, Says Top Bank CEO — Bloomberg.com
- Malaysia’s economy grows at fastest pace in 3 years in 2025, exceeding expectations — Reuters
- Reeves says ‘more to do’ after sluggish GDP growth — BBC
- The Big Money in Today’s Economy Is Going to Capital, Not Labor — The Wall Street Journal
- Crises Everywhere, but the Markets Don’t Seem to Mind — The New York Times
- Stocks Churn as Tech Selloff Slows, Gold Rebounds: Markets Wrap — Bloomberg.com
- Thousands of Amateur Gamblers Are Beating Wall Street Ph.D.s — The New York Times
- Stock Futures Rise as Traders Watch Earnings, Data: Markets Wrap — Bloomberg.com
- Pemex Issues $1.8 Billion in Debt in Return to Mexico Markets — Bloomberg.com
- JPMorgan customers can sue over low rates on cash sweeps, US judge rules — Reuters
Social Week-in-Review
What the community was discussing this week:
- At last we’ve found it. Pure retardium — reddit.com/r/WallStreetBets
- Daily Discussion Thread for February 13, 2026 — reddit.com/r/WallStreetBets
- The EU moves to kill infinite scrolling — reddit.com/r/europe
- We’re fucked — reddit.com/r/WallStreetBets
- It was never charity – Was Europe a beneficiary of a strong US? We should not believe this false narrative. In fact, the Americans gave nothing to the Europeans — reddit.com/r/Europe
- Weekend Discussion Thread for the Weekend of February 13, 2026 — reddit.com/r/WallStreetBets
- US has ‘squandered’ its claim to world leadership, German chancellor Merz suggests — reddit.com/r/europe
- Dutch Lawmakers Approve a 36% Tax on Unrealized Crypto, Stock, and Bond Gains — reddit.com/r/Europe