DeepCap Weekly Wrap

Tech sector struggles as labor market concerns weigh on investor sentiment

DeepCap Weekly Wrap

The Week at a Glance

🎯 Theme: Tech sector struggles as labor market concerns weigh on investor sentiment
📊 Risk Mood: Cautious (VIX 20.37)
💡 Key Takeaway: Market volatility indicates ongoing uncertainty, particularly in tech and labor dynamics.
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Top 5 Headlines That Shaped the Week

  1. Fed’s Jefferson cautiously optimistic about economy, sees job market stabilizing, inflation falling
    This statement influenced market sentiment, suggesting potential for future rate cuts.
  2. Dow surges 1,200 points for first close above 50,000 in sharp rebound from tech rout: Live updates
    The Dow’s significant gain marked a recovery from recent losses, impacting overall market confidence.
  3. This week provided more evidence that a softening labor market is the economy’s biggest threat
    Concerns over the labor market weighed on investor sentiment, affecting multiple sectors.
  4. Oil markets are on edge over elevated risks of a U.S. military strike against Iran this weekend
    Geopolitical tensions influenced energy markets, impacting broader market stability.
  5. How America’s EV retreat is increasing China’s control of global markets
    This shift in the EV sector has implications for global trade dynamics and market positioning.

The Week in Review

The Big Picture
This week’s dominant theme was a cross‑market rotation away from growth tech and into cyclical and value names as macro signals softened. Tech weakness pushed the Nasdaq down 2.38% while the Dow outperformed, reflecting a shift into industrials, energy and financials after a string of headline shocks — layoffs, a softer labor market and renewed scrutiny of private‑market AI claims — that tightened risk appetites for high‑multiple stocks.

Rates and volatility told a muted but important story: the VIX eased to 20.37 (-6.4%) yet stays elevated, U.S. 10‑year yields sat at 4.22%, and Germany’s 10‑year was 2.84%. Treasury yields were roughly rangebound, mortgage rates climbed (30‑year cited at 6.26%), and EUR/USD held near 1.18. That mix trimmed valuation premiums in growth names, supported cyclical sectors and kept FX and short‑term European rates subdued.

US Markets
The S&P 500 fell 0.63%, the Nasdaq dropped 2.38% and the Dow rose 1.43%. Sector rotation defined the week: mega‑cap and consumer tech names suffered sharp losses (Amazon -13.43%, AMD -15.36%, Snap -21.62%), while airlines, parts of industrials and legacy financials outperformed (American Airlines +11.32%, select Dow components led the rally). Movers reflected earnings, sticky mortgage rates and a labor‑market narrative that tilted investor focus from momentum to cash flow resilience and cyclicals.

EU Markets
European benchmarks were essentially flat: STOXX 600 -0.03%, DAX -0.31% and FTSE 100 +0.27%. That stability contrasted with the U.S. split; Europe’s market moves were more idiosyncratic — outsized corporate misses and sector moves (Stellantis -26.46%, IREN -21.19%) offset modest strength in energy and exporters as the pound gained. ECB‑area short rates remain lower in recent readings (EURIBOR 3M at 2.02), damping immediate monetary‑policy pressure and keeping European yields subdued relative to U.S. peers.

5-Day Market Performance

🇺🇸 US Markets

  • S&P 500
    -0.63%
  • Nasdaq
    -2.38%
  • Dow Jones
    +1.43%

🇪🇺 EU Markets

  • STOXX 600
    -0.03%
  • DAX
    -0.31%
  • FTSE 100
    +0.27%

Weekly Market Movers

📈 Week’s Top Gainers

  • NIO Inc. — +11.5%
  • American Airlines Group, Inc. — +11.32%
  • Kenvue Inc. — +4.32%
  • Intel Corporation — +3.65%
  • Archer Aviation Inc. — +3.55%
  • Apple Inc. — +3.0%
  • Pfizer, Inc. — +2.1%

📉 Week’s Top Losers

  • Stellantis N.V. — -26.46%
  • Snap Inc. — -21.62%
  • IREN LIMITED — -21.19%
  • Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. — -15.36%
  • Amazon.com, Inc. — -13.43%
  • BitMine Immersion Technologies, — -10.22%
  • MARA Holdings, Inc. — -9.65%
  • Ondas Inc — -8.93%

Macro Dashboard

Indicator Level Δ d/d Δ w/w 52W Range Signal
VIX 20.37 -6.43% +16.8% 15.64–21.77 ⚠️ Elevated
EUR/USD 1.18 0.0% Neutral
EURIBOR 3M 2.02% -0.98% 0.0% 2.02–2.04 📉 Easing
US 10Y 4.22% +0.96% -0.47% 4.18–4.3 Neutral
DE 10Y 2.84% -0.35% -0.35% 2.84–2.91 📉 Offered

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⚠️ Weekend Watch

Key developments to monitor before markets reopen:

  • Monitor tensions in Eastern Europe as leaders meet over security issues, which could impact market sentiment.
  • Watch for key Chinese economic data releases that may influence global market trends ahead of Monday’s trading.
  • Pay attention to pre-announcements from major tech firms, as any warnings could sway investor confidence.
  • Central bank officials are scheduled to speak this weekend; their comments may signal future monetary policy directions.
  • Options expiry on Friday could lead to increased volatility; watch for positioning changes in major indices.
📰 This Week’s Headlines (6 themes)

Rates, Central Banks & Mortgages

Headlines on interest-rate moves and mortgage/yield dynamics that directly affect borrowing costs and fixed-income markets.

Rates, Central Banks & Mortgages

Central-bank commentary and policy decisions shaping rate expectations and the economic restructuring outlook.

Rates, Central Banks & Mortgages

India’s central bank held its policy rate steady, a policy/rates decision tied to growth dynamics eased by US/EU trade deals.

AI/Tech Valuation Jitters

Stories highlighting AI-driven valuation stress and strains in large-cap tech/related private markets.

AI/Tech Valuation Jitters

Firm- and product-level AI breakthroughs and market reactions that are reshaping tech valuations and flows.

Other Market News

Additional headlines across various market themes.

Social Week-in-Review

What the community was discussing this week:

This content is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. Markets carry risk. Do your own research.