DeepCap Wednesday Outlook

Market reacts to rising inflation concerns as key economic indicators are released.

DeepCap Wednesday Outlook

The Day at a Glance

🎯 Theme: Market reacts to rising inflation concerns as key economic indicators are released.
📊 Risk Mood: Cautious (VIX 18.0, +10.16%)
⏰ Key Event: CPI release at 8:30 AM
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Key Headlines

  1. Australia Becomes First Major Economy to Hike Interest Rates This Year
    Policy moves and commentary on central-bank rate action and its economic consequences, focused on Australia.
  2. Fed’s Barkin Says We Have Been Bringing Rates Back Down Toward Neutral Levels
    Central-bank decisions and commentary shaping rate expectations and market pricing.
  3. What You Need to Know About the AI Models Rattling Markets
    Explanations and market coverage tying recent volatility to AI-driven models and stretched tech valuations.

The Day Ahead

Yesterday’s Takeaway
A tech-led US selloff bled into Asia and pushed investors into safe havens and commodities: gold extended gains, reportedly topping $5,000, while oil jumped and mining and rare-earth names rallied. That mix signals risk-off tone for today’s session, with equities vulnerable to follow-through and commodities likely to remain a focal point across rates and FX.

The Setup
Volatility is ticking up: VIX sits at 18.0 (+10.16%), while US 10-year yields rose to 4.28% (+0.23%) and Germany’s 10-year to 2.89% (+0.7%). EUR/USD is steady at 1.18 and Euribor 3M has softened to 2.02. The key divergence: rising equity volatility and commodity demand alongside higher sovereign yields — a classic frayed-risk backdrop that can widen moves across sectors, as yesterday’s miners and tech losers illustrated.

Today’s Watch
Key prints: UK House Price Index at 07:00 (consensus 0.4 vs -0.6 prior), China FX reserves at 08:00 (forecast 3.36), and Colombia CPI around 23:00 (monthly 1.18, annual 5.0). US CFTC positioning data hits at 20:30; previous specs include gold net 205.4 and natural gas net -163.6. Markets expect a confirmation of higher commodity demand and resilient house-price prints; surprises would be weaker China reserves or hotter-than-expected Colombian inflation. Focus: whether yields and VIX push equities deeper and whether commodities—and positioning data—sustain the recent safe-haven/commodity bid.

Market Movers

📈 Top Gainers

  • DaVita Inc. — +21.17%
  • Hycroft Mining Holding Corporat — +19.48%
  • Almonty Industries Inc. — +17.97%
  • USA Rare Earth, Inc. — +17.42%
  • Energy Fuels Inc — +16.75%
  • Taseko Mines, Ltd. — +14.53%
  • Woodward, Inc. — +13.42%
  • Teradyne, Inc. — +13.41%

📉 Top Losers

  • CorVel Corp. — -26.05%
  • Gartner, Inc. — -20.87%
  • PayPal Holdings, Inc. — -20.31%
  • NIQ Global Intelligence plc — -19.88%
  • ExlService Holdings, Inc. — -18.68%
  • Galaxy Digital Inc. — -16.87%
  • Graphic Packaging Holding Compa — -15.97%
  • Thomson Reuters Corp — -15.67%

Key Events Today

No major economic events scheduled.

View Full Calendar

Fed Speak This Week

  • February 6 — Fed Jefferson Speech (Neutral)

Macro Dashboard

Indicator Level Δ d/d Δ w/w 52W Range Signal
VIX 18.0 +10.16% +10.09% 15.64–20.09 Neutral
EUR/USD 1.18 0.0% — — Neutral
EURIBOR 3M 2.02% -0.49% -0.98% 2.02–2.04 📉 Easing
US 10Y 4.28% +0.23% +0.71% 4.22–4.3 Neutral
DE 10Y 2.89% +0.7% +0.35% 2.84–2.91 Neutral

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📰 Yesterday’s Headlines (6 themes)

Rates, Central Banks & Mortgages

Policy moves and commentary on central-bank rate action and its economic consequences, focused on Australia.

Rates, Central Banks & Mortgages

Central-bank decisions and commentary shaping rate expectations and market pricing.

AI/Tech Valuation Jitters

Explanations and market coverage tying recent volatility to AI-driven models and stretched tech valuations.

Trade & Diplomacy

Trade agreements and bilateral developments driving regional market moves and commodity flows.

Macro: Labor, Consumers & Growth

Broader economic assessments and research on growth, demographics and public concern about the economy.

Other Market News

Additional headlines across various market themes.

Market Futures

Social Media Buzz

For your reading pleasure, not to be treated as advice of any sort.

This content is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. Markets carry risk. Do your own research.

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