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DeepCap Tuesday Outlook
The Day at a Glance
| π― | Theme: Market reacts to inflation data amid cautious sentiment from recent rate hikes. |
| π | Risk Mood: Cautious (VIX 16.34, -6.31%) |
| β° | Key Event: CPI release at 8:30 AM |
| π₯ | DeepCap Focus: [Premium] See DeepList Watch β |
Key Headlines
-
Australia raises rates for first time since late 2023 as inflation hits six-quarter high
Reserve Bank of Australia policy moves and outlook are driving market moves and FX reactions across the region. -
CNBC Daily Open: Markets see Warsh as a safe pick for Fed chair β causing gold and silver to plunge
Headlines focused on central-bank leadership and policy moves that influence rates, markets and safeβhaven flows. -
CNBC Daily Open: India and U.S. strike a trade deal, and markets shrug off precious metals rout
Bilateral trade developments between India and the U.S. that influence market sentiment and cross-border flows.
The Day Ahead
Yesterday’s Takeaway
Australiaβs surprise rate rise β the central bank tightened as inflation surprised to the upside β set the tone: central-bank vigilance remains alive even as equities rallied. That split drove a classic cross-asset divergence yesterday: the Dow jumped (one headline noted a 500-point gain) while commodities and miners sold off, and gold fell, signalling profit-taking in commodity-linked sectors and sensitivity to higher-for-longer rate pricing.
The Setup
Volatility is subdued (VIX 16.34, down 6.3%), yet sovereign yields sit higher: US 10βyr at 4.29% (up 0.23%) and German 10βyr 2.87% (up 0.7%). EUR/USD is flat at 1.18 and EURIBOR 3M sits near 2.03. That mix β low equity volatility alongside elevated nominal yields and commodity weakness β points to a fragile risk-on stance reliant on steady growth; the notable divergence is quiet options markets versus rising bond compensation for duration risk.
Today’s Watch
Key reads arrive through the day: UK House Price Index (07:00) with a 0.4% forecast versus prior -0.6%, China FX reserves (08:00) forecast at 3.36 trillion, and Colombia CPI/inflation prints around 23:00 with yearβoverβyear forecasts near 5.0β5.35%. CFTC speculative position updates come at 20:30. A bigger-than-expected drawdown in China reserves, a surprise uptick in UK house prices, or hotter Colombia CPI would each reprice regional rates and EM risk premia; todayβs focus is whether equity strength survives rising yields and weak commodity flows.
Market Movers
π Top Gainers
- Sandisk Corporation β +15.44%
- Twist Bioscience Corporation β +13.98%
- Regencell Bioscience Holdings L β +13.17%
- ArcBest Corporation β +10.56%
- XPO, Inc. β +10.09%
- Semtech Corporation β +10.04%
- Saia, Inc. β +9.82%
- Soleno Therapeutics, Inc. β +9.75%
π Top Losers
- York Space Systems Inc. β -13.93%
- VSE Corporation β -12.65%
- NIQ Global Intelligence plc β -10.3%
- Robinhood Markets, Inc. β -9.62%
- Comstock Resources, Inc. β -9.53%
- Firefly Aerospace Inc. β -9.29%
- BitMine Immersion Technologies, β -9.16%
- Eldorado Gold Corporation β -8.85%
Key Events Today
No major economic events scheduled.
View Full Calendar
Fed Speak This Week
- February 6 β Fed Jefferson Speech (Neutral)
Macro Dashboard
| Indicator | Level | Ξ d/d | Ξ w/w | 52W Range | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VIX | 16.34 | -6.31% | +1.18% | 15.64β20.09 | π Subdued |
| EUR/USD | 1.18 | 0.0% | β | β | Neutral |
| EURIBOR 3M | 2.03% | +0.5% | -0.49% | 2.02β2.04 | Neutral |
| US 10Y | 4.29% | +0.23% | +0.94% | 4.18β4.3 | π Bid |
| DE 10Y | 2.87% | +0.7% | 0.0% | 2.82β2.91 | Neutral |
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π° Yesterday’s Headlines (6 themes)
Rates, Central Banks & Mortgages
Reserve Bank of Australia policy moves and outlook are driving market moves and FX reactions across the region.
- Australia raises rates for first time since late 2023 as inflation hits six-quarter high β CNBC, 02/03/2026
Rates, Central Banks & Mortgages
Headlines focused on central-bank leadership and policy moves that influence rates, markets and safeβhaven flows.
- CNBC Daily Open: Markets see Warsh as a safe pick for Fed chair β causing gold and silver to plunge β CNBC, 02/02/2026
- How Prediction Markets Got the Fed Chair Nomination Wrong β Barron’s, 02/02/2026
- Inflation-wary Bank of England set to keep rates on hold β Reuters, 02/02/2026
Trade & Diplomacy
Bilateral trade developments between India and the U.S. that influence market sentiment and cross-border flows.
- CNBC Daily Open: India and U.S. strike a trade deal, and markets shrug off precious metals rout β CNBC, 02/03/2026
Macro: Labor, Consumers & Growth
Local labor-market shocks and broader questions about the strength of the recovery and consumer experience.
- βItβs Been Brutalβ: Twin Cities Economy Suffers Under ICE Crackdown β The New York Times, 02/02/2026
- The Recovery You Donβt Feel Is Real β Bloomberg.com, 02/03/2026
Macro: Labor, Consumers & Growth
Structural pieces about labor-market shifts and consumption trends driven by technology and AI.
- AIβs White-Collar Gig Economy Is Booming. Can It Last? β Bloomberg.com, 02/03/2026
Other Market News
Additional headlines across various market themes.
- FTSE 100 Live: Gold and Silver Prices Rebound, UK Stocks to Hold Steady β Bloomberg.com, 02/03/2026
- Stock Market News, Feb. 2, 2026: Dow Gains More Than 500 Points, Oil Prices Drop β The Wall Street Journal, 02/03/2026
- Metals, crude oil dive in broad commodities market tumble β Reuters, 02/02/2026
- Stocks Climb on Factory Data as Gold Selloff Eases: Markets Wrap β Bloomberg.com, 02/02/2026
- Stocks Rise While Commodity Markets Face Fresh Volatility β The Wall Street Journal, 02/02/2026
- European stocks set to open higher as global markets settle down β CNBC, 02/03/2026
- Gold steadies, stocks bounce and rate hike hoists Aussie dollar β Reuters, 02/03/2026
- Asian Stocks Set to Climb After US Data Lifts Mood: Markets Wrap β Bloomberg.com, 02/03/2026
- Oil falls on possible US-Iran de-escalation, firm dollar β Reuters, 02/03/2026
- European stocks close higher as gold extends recent losses β CNBC, 02/02/2026
Market Futures
Social Media Buzz
For your reading pleasure, not to be treated as advice of any sort.
- Portugalβs conservatives back left-wing candidate to avoid a far-right president β reddit.com/r/europe, 2026-02-02
- Daily Discussion Thread for February 02, 2026 β reddit.com/r/WallStreetBets, 2026-02-02
- What Are Your Moves Tomorrow, February 03, 2026 β reddit.com/r/WallStreetBets, 2026-02-02
- Draghi: “Europe must choose. Become a federation to be a power. The global order is dead, the threat is what will replace it” β reddit.com/r/Europe, 2026-02-02
- Norwayβs crown princess had years of contact with Epstein, files suggest β reddit.com/r/Europe, 2026-02-02
- The European Commission is pushing hard to extend Chat Control 1.0 – allowing mass scanning of private messages without court orders for another two years β reddit.com/r/europe, 2026-02-02
- Elon Musk’s SpaceX to Combine with xAI Ahead of Mega IPO β reddit.com/r/WallStreetBets, 2026-02-02