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DeepCap Weekly Wrap
The Week at a Glance
| 🎯 | Theme: Market volatility heightened as Fed chair speculation impacts gold and silver prices |
| 📊 | Risk Mood: Cautious (VIX 17.44) |
| 💡 | Key Takeaway: Traders should prepare for continued fluctuations in commodities amid central bank uncertainty. |
| 🔥 | DeepCap Focus: [Premium] See DeepList Weekly Performance → |
Top 5 Headlines That Shaped the Week
-
Gold and Silver Plummet as Traders Price Fed Pick
Market reaction to Fed chair speculation led to significant declines in precious metals. -
US Fed holds interest rates and defends independence
The Fed’s decision to maintain rates influenced market stability amid ongoing economic concerns. -
What a Warsh Fed Would Mean for Interest Rates and Inflation Policy
Speculation around Kevin Warsh’s potential policies created uncertainty affecting broader market sentiment. -
Eurozone economy unexpectedly grows by 0.3% in fourth quarter
Surprising growth data provided a boost to European markets, contrasting with US performance. -
Trump picking Kevin Warsh as Fed chair wasn’t enough to soothe shaky markets
The appointment raised concerns, contributing to declines in major US indices throughout the week.
The Week in Review
The Big Picture
This week’s dominant theme was central‑bank politics colliding with commodity repricing. Kevin Warsh’s nomination to run the Fed refocused markets on the path of US policy, prompting a sharp rethink of rate expectations that sent precious metals tumbling and the dollar firmer — EUR/USD slipped to 1.18 (-1.67%). Yet bond yields barely budged: the US 10‑year sat near 4.24% (flat on the week) while VIX rose to 17.44 (+8.4%), signaling higher risk aversion but not a wholesale risk unwind. The net effect: asset flows favored defensive income and large-cap cyclicals over inflation hedges, compressing metal‑linked names and lifting telecoms and select semiconductors.
Cross‑asset implications were clear. A stronger dollar and repriced Fed odds put downward pressure on gold and silver, coinciding with brutal weekly losses in silver trusts and miners. Equities showed bifurcation — pockets of outperformance in yield‑oriented and semiconductor names versus steep declines in speculative and commodity‑exposed stocks — while European growth surprises (Eurozone Q4 +0.3%, Spain strong) kept regional sentiment resilient despite diverging policy trajectories.
US Markets
The S&P 500 finished the week down 0.16%, the Nasdaq fell 0.59%, and the Dow dropped 1.05%. Leadership skewed toward income and heavy-cap cyclicals: Verizon (+12.37%) and AT&T (+11.77%) were among the top weekly gainers, while semiconductor names like Intel (+9.37%) and Micron (+6.63%) outperformed. The selloff concentrated in metals and highly speculative names — Unity plunged 32.33% and silver‑linked trusts lost roughly a quarter — driven by Fed‑naming headlines, volatile metals trading and mixed earnings/data that left rate policy as the main market motor.
EU Markets
Europe held up better: STOXX 600 rose 0.23% while the DAX slid 1.58% and the FTSE gained 0.74%. The region diverged from the US in part because domestic activity surprised to the upside — Eurozone Q4 growth and outsized gains in Spain and Poland softened recession fears — even as energy and policy questions kept markets uneven. ECB positioning and local macro beats supported cyclicals and financials, but Germany’s export sensitivity and sensitivity to global demand left the DAX lagging the broader STOXX and the UK’s FTSE.
5-Day Market Performance
🇺🇸 US Markets
-
S&P 500
-0.16% -
Nasdaq
-0.59% -
Dow Jones
-1.05%
🇪🇺 EU Markets
-
STOXX 600
+0.23% -
DAX
-1.58% -
FTSE 100
+0.74%
Weekly Market Movers
📈 Week’s Top Gainers
- Verizon Communications Inc. — +12.37%
- AT&T Inc. — +11.77%
- Intel Corporation — +9.37%
- Denison Mines Corp — +7.03%
- Micron Technology, Inc. — +6.63%
- Ford Motor Company — +3.27%
- NVIDIA Corporation — +2.5%
- VALE S.A. — +2.36%
📉 Week’s Top Losers
- Unity Software Inc. — -32.33%
- Hecla Mining Company — -24.86%
- “Sprott Physical Silver Trust” — -24.35%
- Joby Aviation, Inc. — -20.41%
- First Majestic Silver Corp. — -18.97%
- Rocket Companies, Inc. — -15.46%
- Opendoor Technologies Inc — -12.27%
- BigBear.ai, Inc. — -11.89%
Macro Dashboard
| Indicator | Level | Δ d/d | Δ w/w | 52W Range | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VIX | 17.44 | +3.32% | +8.39% | 15.12–20.09 | Neutral |
| EUR/USD | 1.18 | -1.67% | — | — | Neutral |
| EURIBOR 3M | 2.02% | -0.49% | -0.49% | 2.02–2.04 | 📉 Easing |
| US 10Y | 4.24% | 0.0% | +0.24% | 4.14–4.3 | Neutral |
| DE 10Y | 2.85% | +0.35% | -2.06% | 2.82–2.91 | Neutral |
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⚠️ Weekend Watch
Key developments to monitor before markets reopen:
- Monitor tensions in Eastern Europe as leaders hold discussions over regional security issues this weekend.
- Watch for key Chinese economic data release that could impact market sentiment ahead of Monday’s trading.
- Several major companies are expected to issue earnings warnings this weekend, affecting market expectations.
- Central bank officials are scheduled to speak, potentially signaling future monetary policy directions.
- Options expiry this weekend may lead to increased volatility and repositioning in key sectors.
📰 This Week’s Headlines (6 themes)
Rates, Central Banks & Mortgages
Multiple headlines focus on the Fed, a potential Kevin Warsh chair and rate direction, driving market sensitivity to policy and yields.
- Trump picking Kevin Warsh as Fed chair wasn’t enough to soothe shaky markets — MarketWatch
- What a Warsh Fed Would Mean for Interest Rates and Inflation Policy — Barron’s
- What to expect from Fed chair Kevin Warsh — Axios
- Fed’s Musalem Says It Would Be ‘Unadvisable’ to Lower Rates Now — Bloomberg
- US Fed holds interest rates and defends independence — BBC
Macro: Labor, Consumers & Growth
Headline highlights rising unemployment in Germany, signaling a deterioration in the labour market and economic focus for policymakers.
China/Asia Policy & Markets
Asian ETF flows are moving significant capital into gold, prompting questions about the rally’s sustainability in regional markets.
Fed pick, rates and market reaction
Coverage of Trump’s Fed pick and how it is moving rates, mortgages and commodity (gold/silver) markets.
- Kevin Warsh, Trump’s Choice for Fed Chair Could Find It Difficult to Deliver — The New York Times
- Will mortgage rates fall under Trump’s next Fed chair? Here’s what to know. — MarketWatch
- Gold and Silver Plummet as Traders Price Fed Pick — Bloomberg
European growth snapshots and outperformance
Country- and region-level growth reads showing resilient/uneven expansion across Europe in 2025.
- Euro zone economy ends 2025 with solid growth despite low exports, US trade strife — Reuters
- Spain’s economy far outgrows peers with 2.8% expansion in 2025 — Reuters
- Eurozone economy unexpectedly grows by 0.3% in fourth quarter — Financial Times
- Poland’s Economy Set to Enter Global Top 20 Following Another Strong Year — The Wall Street Journal
Other Market News
Additional headlines across various market themes.
- At World’s Busiest Port, China’s Unbalanced Economy Comes Into View — The New York Times
- Wealth inequality and the ‘K-shaped’ economy are more striking than ever, data shows — CNBC
- New cars are increasingly becoming a luxury amid K-shaped economy concerns — CNBC
- If you missed big international stock market rally in 2025, it’s not too late to start making money overseas — CNBC
- Prediction markets allow trading on Super Bowl commercials, prompting insider trading questions — CNBC
- City to get at least two fan zones for Euro 2028 — BBC News
Social Week-in-Review
What the community was discussing this week:
- The biggest liquidity swing in human history! — reddit.com/r/StockMarket
- BREAKING: Silver Crashes 38% From Record High, Gold Falls 16% From Record High — Largest Single-Day Drop in Precious Metals History — reddit.com/r/WallStreetBets
- Daily Discussion Thread for January 30, 2026 — reddit.com/r/WallStreetBets
- NATO to Hold Military Exercise Without U.S., Its Largest Member — reddit.com/r/europe
- Donald Trump nominates Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair — reddit.com/r/WallStreetBets
- Russian drones with Starlink can reach much farther into Europe than most people expected — reddit.com/r/Europe
- Olympic bus fare surcharge leaves 11-year-old stranded in snow | An 11-year-old schoolboy who did not have money for a bus fare surcharge introduced for the Milano Cortina Winter Olympics was forced to walk 6 kilometres (3.8 miles) home in sub-zero snowy weather, his family said on Friday — reddit.com/r/Europe
- Weekend Discussion Thread for the Weekend of January 30, 2026 — reddit.com/r/WallStreetBets