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DeepCap Weekly Wrap
The Week at a Glance
| 🎯 | Theme: Market resilience amid geopolitical tensions and mixed economic signals |
| 📊 | Risk Mood: Cautious (VIX 15.86) |
| 💡 | Key Takeaway: Investors should remain vigilant as geopolitical risks and economic uncertainty persist. |
| 🔥 | DeepCap Focus: [Premium] See DeepList Weekly Performance → |
Top 5 Headlines That Shaped the Week
-
Fed should be ready to cut rates again amid job market risks, Bowman says
Bowman’s comments influenced expectations for future Fed rate cuts, impacting market sentiment. -
Exclusive: Some in BOJ see scope to raise rates sooner than markets expect, sources say
Speculation about BOJ rate hikes affected global market dynamics, particularly in currency and bond markets. -
US weighs executive action to cap credit card rates, Bloomberg News reports
Potential credit card rate caps could impact consumer spending and overall economic sentiment. -
UK economy surprises with stronger-than-expected 0.3% growth in November
Unexpected UK growth figures lifted market confidence, influencing European indices positively. -
Treasury yields move higher as investors weigh the state of the U.S. economy
Rising Treasury yields reflect investor concerns about economic stability, impacting broader market trends.
The Week in Review
The Big Picture
Policy noise and a frothy credit market set the tone this week. Fed conversations—publicly mixed between patience and the possibility of renewed easing—arrived hand-in-hand with political pressure on monetary policy and fresh talk of credit-market intervention from the White House. That combo left yields modestly higher in the US (10‑year at 4.23) and volatility nudging up (VIX 15.86), even as risk appetite kept equity indices from a deeper sell-off. Bloomberg’s warnings about the hottest credit markets since 2007 underlined the market’s tolerance for tighter financial conditions, not complacency: higher rates pinched growth-sensitive names while banks reacted to policy and regulatory headlines.
Cross-asset moves were nuanced. The dollar held steady (EUR/USD 1.16) as German 10‑year yields slipped to 2.84 and short-term euro funding stayed elevated (EURIBOR 3M 2.03), a reminder that European money markets remain tighter than headline equity moves imply. Tech saw pockets of fresh momentum—AMD among notable gainers—while credit and regulatory chatter pressured some financials and consumer-credit exposed names.
US Markets
The S&P 500 fell 0.53%, the Nasdaq dropped 0.92% and the Dow lost 0.47% over the week. Leadership fractured: cyclical and bank-sensitive parts of the market lagged amid talk of credit-card rate caps and Fed uncertainty, while pockets of tech and high-beta names produced outsized winners (Advanced Micro Devices +11.6%, Riot +17%). Earnings, Fed commentary (including Bowman’s cautious tone), and datapoints on employment dominated flows, leaving a subtle rotation away from long-duration growth into more rate-sensitive segments.
EU Markets
European equities outpaced the US headline performance: STOXX 600 rose 0.56% while the DAX dipped 0.43% and the FTSE 100 gained 0.93%, with the FTSE nudging toward record territory. The divergence reflected regional nuances—UK large-cap resilience and commodity-related strength offset weakness in parts of continental Europe—against a backdrop of ECB-watch and elevated short-term euro funding. BOJ chatter about earlier tightening also circulated, adding a global-policy layer to the trading week.
5-Day Market Performance
🇺🇸 US Markets
-
S&P 500
-0.53% -
Nasdaq
-0.92% -
Dow Jones
-0.47%
🇪🇺 EU Markets
-
STOXX 600
+0.56% -
DAX
-0.43% -
FTSE 100
+0.93%
Weekly Market Movers
📈 Week’s Top Gainers
- ImmunityBio, Inc. — +113.13%
- Riot Platforms, Inc. — +16.96%
- IREN LIMITED — +14.88%
- Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. — +11.62%
- Denison Mines Corp — +9.17%
- Super Micro Computer, Inc. — +8.37%
- MARA Holdings, Inc. — +6.67%
- Intel Corporation — +6.58%
📉 Week’s Top Losers
- Grab Holdings Limited — -10.43%
- Ondas Holdings Inc. — -7.81%
- Opendoor Technologies Inc — -4.99%
- Palantir Technologies Inc. — -4.71%
- Bank of America Corporation — -4.02%
- American Airlines Group, Inc. — -3.94%
- Ford Motor Company — -3.06%
- BigBear.ai, Inc. — -3.01%
Macro Dashboard
| Indicator | Level | Δ d/d | Δ w/w | 52W Range | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VIX | 15.86 | +0.13% | +9.45% | 14.2–16.75 | Neutral |
| EUR/USD | 1.16 | 0.0% | — | — | Neutral |
| EURIBOR 3M | 2.03% | +0.5% | 0.0% | 2.02–2.03 | 📈 Sticky |
| US 10Y | 4.23% | +1.2% | +1.44% | 4.11–4.23 | 📈 Bid |
| DE 10Y | 2.84% | +0.71% | -1.05% | 2.81–2.9 | Neutral |
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⚠️ Weekend Watch
Key developments to monitor before markets reopen:
- Monitor tensions in the Middle East as Iran’s nuclear negotiations remain unresolved.
- Watch for key Asian market indicators, especially from Japan and China, influencing global sentiment.
- Notable earnings pre-announcements from major tech firms may impact market direction.
- Fed officials may signal future policy shifts; watch for comments over the weekend.
- Options expiry could lead to increased volatility; observe positioning ahead of Monday’s open.
📰 This Week’s Headlines (6 themes)
Rates, Central Banks & Mortgages
Policy- and rate-path headlines covering central bank views, potential rate moves and warnings in credit markets.
- Fed should be ready to cut rates again amid job market risks, Bowman says — Reuters
- Exclusive: Some in BOJ see scope to raise rates sooner than markets expect, sources say — Reuters
- Hottest Credit Markets Since 2007 Spur Warnings on Complacency — Bloomberg.com
- Stock Market News, Jan. 16, 2026: Trump Suggests Hassett Might Not Be Named Fed Chair — The Wall Street Journal
Rates, Central Banks & Mortgages
Policy, Fed leadership and moves in yields are driving market and consumer-rate stories this week.
- Fed’s Bowman Says Rates Have More Room to Fall — The Wall Street Journal
- Treasury yields move higher as investors weigh the state of the U.S. economy — CNBC
- Trump tells Hassett he wants to keep him where he is; Warsh Fed chair odds jump — CNBC
- The threat to the global economy from Trump’s war on the Fed — Financial Times
- US weighs executive action to cap credit card rates, Bloomberg News reports — Reuters
- Rates have dropped to the lowest point in years — here are the best lenders for refinancing your mortgage — CNBC
AI/Tech Valuation Jitters
Competition between major AI labs and intensified executive coordination highlights the franchise-level tech rivalry that can drive valuation and sector volatility.
Macro: Labor, Consumers & Growth
Consumer-facing policy and debt issues, and broader consumer/household risk implications.
- White House Weighs Executive Action to Cap Credit Card Rates — Bloomberg.com
- Trump’s proposed credit card cap spotlights Americans’ debt. Would it help? — BBC
Macro: Labor, Consumers & Growth
Mixed regional growth prints and sector stresspoints show uneven recoveries and cost pressures.
- German economy breaks 2-year slide with modest 2025 growth — Reuters
- Germany’s economy is so bad even sausage factories are closing — The Economist
- US farm economy shows widening cracks as costs rise, jobs vanish — Reuters
- UK economy surprises with stronger-than-expected 0.3% growth in November — CNBC
Other Market News
Additional headlines across various market themes.
- Trump’s heavy hand tightens grip on U.S. economy — Axios
- Exclusive | It’s Trump’s Economy, and Voters Are Unhappy With It, WSJ Poll Finds — The Wall Street Journal
- FTSE 100 Reverses Fall to Put Another Record in Sight — Bloomberg.com
- ‘Markets are callous’: Why stocks aren’t fazed by Iran, Greenland or Venezuela — CNBC
- Stocks Rise as Fresh Burst of Tech Momentum Builds: Markets Wrap — Bloomberg.com
- JPMorgan forms new advisory group to tap boom in private markets — Reuters
- Goldman Sachs CEO is looking at how the Wall Street bank can get involved in prediction markets — CNBC
- College students and teens could be fueling the prediction markets boom — CNBC
- WestJet Backpedals on Economy Seats That Don’t Recline — The New York Times
- HIX: Limited Appeal As Long As Rates Remain Elevated (NYSE:HIX) — Seeking Alpha
Social Week-in-Review
What the community was discussing this week:
- Only 16% of EU citizens now consider the US an ally. Even in the UK it’s down to a meagre 25%. — reddit.com/r/europe
- Trump says he may punish countries with tariffs if they don’t back the US controlling Greenland — reddit.com/r/Europe
- Norway Stunned After Machado Gifts Nobel Peace Prize Medal to Trump — reddit.com/r/europe
- Americans making more than $100,000 are quickly losing faith in the economy—and it’s a red flag for the white-collar job market — reddit.com/r/Economics
- Daily Discussion Thread for January 16, 2026 — reddit.com/r/WallStreetBets
- Spain calls on Europe to have its own army to avoid dependence on third countries — reddit.com/r/europe
- The $700k INTC Grandma Guy is officially a millionaire. We owe Nana an apology. — reddit.com/r/WallStreetBets
- Polish PM rules out sending troops to Greenland, says US invasion would be “end of world as we know it” — reddit.com/r/europe