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DeepCap Weekly Wrap
The Week at a Glance
| 🎯 | Theme: Mixed U.S. market performance contrasts with European gains amid rising Treasury yields |
| 📊 | Risk Mood: Cautious (VIX 14.51) |
| 💡 | Key Takeaway: U.S. markets face headwinds as investors weigh mixed signals from economic indicators and yields. |
| 🔥 | DeepCap Focus: [Premium] See DeepList Weekly Performance → |
Top 5 Headlines That Shaped the Week
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Wall Street ends mixed at the top of the new year; Treasury yields move higher
Higher Treasury yields contributed to mixed performance across U.S. indices, influencing investor sentiment. -
South Korea’s Kospi hits record high as region trades mixed at the start of 2026
The Kospi’s record high signaled strong regional market performance, impacting global investor outlook. -
How Dutch Pensions Overhaul Is Rippling Through Bond Markets
The overhaul affected bond market dynamics, influencing investor strategies across multiple asset classes. -
Bitcoin set for first yearly loss since 2022 as macro trends weigh on crypto
Negative macro trends impacted cryptocurrency markets, affecting broader risk sentiment among investors. -
Markets Weekly Outlook – NFP Jobs Data In Focus In 1st Full Trading Week Of 2026
Upcoming jobs data is expected to shinvestor market expectations, influencing trading strategies for the week ahead.
The Week in Review
The Big Picture
This week’s market story was driven by rising government bond yields and the re‑pricing of duration risk. The U.S. 10‑year yield moved up to about 4.20% and the German 10‑year to roughly 2.90%, a move that undercut long‑duration growth names and left risk appetite selective rather than broad‑based. Volatility stayed subdued — the VIX sits at 14.51 despite a weekly uptick — and EUR/USD held near 1.17, so the impact showed up most clearly in equity sector splits and FX‑sensitive positioning rather than in a wholesale risk unwind. Cross‑asset, higher yields tightened financial conditions for growth stocks while providing a lift to cyclicals and select commodity‑linked names.
US Markets
U.S. equity indices finished the week lower: S&P 500 -1.03%, Nasdaq -1.52%, Dow -0.67%. The softening in tech and software names was the clearest divergence — several data points and earnings beats failed to prevent declines among high multiple stocks — while semiconductors and some industrials outperformed (Micron among notable winners). Drivers were the move up in Treasury yields, mixed corporate results that left room for re‑rating, and a calendar keyed to early January economic data and positioning ahead of first‑full‑week jobs reports.
EU Markets
European markets outperformed the U.S.: STOXX 600 +1.47%, DAX +1.05%, FTSE 100 +0.81%. The region saw rotation into cyclicals and resource‑exposed names, with money‑market and short‑term rates nudging up (EURIBOR 3M around 2.03%). That divergence reflected a combination of stronger earnings tone in pockets of Europe, less sensitivity to the U.S. duration shock, and idiosyncratic regional flows rather than a coordinated macro surprise. ECB‑related rate path signals and energy/commodity headlines provided the backdrop, but they didn’t overwhelm the cross‑asset shift toward cyclicals.
5-Day Market Performance
🇺🇸 US Markets
-
S&P 500
-1.03% -
Nasdaq
-1.52% -
Dow Jones
-0.67%
🇪🇺 EU Markets
-
STOXX 600
+1.47% -
DAX
+1.05% -
FTSE 100
+0.81%
Weekly Market Movers
📈 Week’s Top Gainers
- Ondas Holdings Inc. — +29.95%
- Applied Digital Corporation — +16.88%
- Denison Mines Corp — +12.64%
- D-Wave Quantum Inc. — +11.23%
- Micron Technology, Inc. — +10.76%
- BitMine Immersion Technologies, — +10.17%
- Intel Corporation — +8.78%
- Plug Power, Inc. — +7.73%
📉 Week’s Top Losers
- Palantir Technologies Inc. — -11.05%
- Tesla, Inc. — -7.81%
- Rivian Automotive, Inc. — -7.13%
- UiPath, Inc. — -5.7%
- Netflix, Inc. — -3.68%
- Amazon.com, Inc. — -2.59%
- NVIDIA Corporation — -0.88%
- Apple Inc. — -0.87%
Macro Dashboard
| Indicator | Level | Δ d/d | Δ w/w | 52W Range | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VIX | 14.51 | -2.94% | +6.69% | 13.47–17.62 | 📉 Subdued |
| EUR/USD | 1.17 | 0.0% | — | — | Neutral |
| EURIBOR 3M | 2.03% | +0.5% | +1.5% | 2.0–2.07 | Neutral |
| US 10Y | 4.2% | +0.72% | +1.45% | 4.11–4.2 | 📈 Bid |
| DE 10Y | 2.9% | +1.4% | +1.4% | 2.83–2.9 | 📈 Bid |
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⚠️ Weekend Watch
Key developments to monitor before markets reopen:
- Monitor ongoing tensions in Eastern Europe as diplomatic talks continue over the weekend, potentially impacting market sentiment.
- Watch for key manufacturing data from China on Sunday night, which could influence global market direction.
- Earnings pre-announcements from major tech firms may signal shifts in market expectations heading into next week.
- Central bank officials from the Fed and ECB are scheduled to speak, providing insights into monetary policy outlook.
- Options expiry this weekend may lead to increased volatility; watch positioning around key technical levels.
📰 This Week’s Headlines (6 themes)
Rates, Central Banks & Mortgages
A Dutch pensions overhaul is influencing European bond markets and yield dynamics.
- How Dutch Pensions Overhaul Is Rippling Through Bond Markets — Bloomberg.com
Macro: Labor, Consumers & Growth
Macro pieces focused on the economy’s trajectory, labor-market tension and wage-driven market stress.
- Opinion | The Economy Made It Through 2025. The New Year Will Be Harder. — The New York Times (01/01/2026) — The New York Times
- Colombia Mulls Price Controls as Wage Hike Rattles Markets — Bloomberg.com (01/02/2026) — Bloomberg.com
China/Asia Policy & Markets
Asia-Pacific market moves and policy actions — from equity records to regulatory and demographic policy shifts.
- South Korea’s Kospi hits record high as region trades mixed at the start of 2026 — CNBC (01/01/2026) — CNBC
- India markets regulator directs phased rollout of merchant banking overhaul — Reuters (01/02/2026) — Reuters
- China’s plan to boost birth rates with condom tax and cheaper childcare — BBC (12/31/2025) — BBC
Market Moves & Daily Wraps
Session-level market reports capturing early-2026 moves in US and global equity benchmarks and yields.
- Stock Market News, Jan. 2, 2026: Tesla, Gold Fall in Muted First Session of the Year — The Wall Street Journal (01/03/2026) — The Wall Street Journal
- Nasdaq 100 Futures Rally in Lively Start to 2026: Markets Wrap — Bloomberg.com (01/02/2026) — Bloomberg.com
- Wall Street ends mixed at the top of the new year; Treasury yields move higher — Reuters (01/02/2026) — Reuters
- U.S. Markets Ended Friday Mixed As Sandisk Led, AppLovin Lagged — Barron’s (01/02/2026) — Barron’s
Market Moves & Daily Wraps
Asia-Pacific equities opened 2026 positively as regional sentiment lifted shares.
- Asian shares advance in upbeat start to 2026 — Associated Press
Other Market News
Additional headlines across various market themes.
- Tesla sales fall in big European markets but set record in Norway — Reuters (01/02/2026) — Reuters
- Bitcoin set for first yearly loss since 2022 as macro trends weigh on crypto — Reuters
- Wall Street Sees Another Banner Year for Markets. Could Anything Stop It? — The New York Times (01/03/2026) — The New York Times
- Markets Weekly Outlook – NFP Jobs Data In Focus In 1st Full Trading Week Of 2026 — Seeking Alpha (01/03/2026) — Seeking Alpha
- 2026 Banking and Capital Markets Outlook — The Wall Street Journal (01/02/2026) — The Wall Street Journal
- Podcast: What to Expect from the US Economy in 2026 — Bloomberg.com (01/02/2026) — Bloomberg.com
- Opinion | Trump’s Action Was About More Than Fuel Economy — The Wall Street Journal (01/02/2026) — The Wall Street Journal
Social Week-in-Review
What the community was discussing this week:
- Daily Discussion Thread for January 02, 2026 — reddit.com/r/WallStreetBets
- French ban on ‘forever chemicals’ in cosmetics and clothes to enter into force — reddit.com/r/europe
- Kharkiv city center has been hit by two Iskander ballistic missiles, collapsing a residential bulding — reddit.com/r/europe
- Creating the Most Unethical Portfolio — reddit.com/r/WallStreetBets
- How many people in Western European countries say they care if Ukraine wins? — reddit.com/r/Europe
- Austrian President Alexander Van der Bellen Calls for “European Patriotism” in 2026 New Year’s Address — reddit.com/r/europe
- There’s an exonym “corridor” of countries that call the Netherlands “Holland”, spreading all the way from from Poland to Turkey — reddit.com/r/europe
- Former Hungarian PM: The Orbán government is planning for a long-term exit from the EU — reddit.com/r/europe