Let's Shape The Future Of Your Investments!
Beat the market with DeepCap's stock picks and investment strategies.
DeepCap Week Ahead Outlook
The Week at a Glance
| 🎯 | Theme: ISM services print and crude stock change will steer Fed-rate expectations and energy prices |
| 📊 | Risk Mood: Cautious (VIX 13.6, +0.97%) |
| ⏰ | Key Event: ISM Non-Manufacturing (ISM Services) report |
| 🔥 | DeepCap Focus: [Premium] See DeepList Watch → |
Key Headlines
-
BOJ Summary Signals Real Rates Still Low, Pointing to More Hikes
Central-bank signaling and money-market/benchmarks changes that affect the rate path and liquidity in markets. -
US economy grows at fastest pace in two years
High-level economic growth and macro momentum that set the backdrop for market positioning. -
Return of Global Funds Puts Southeast Asia in Spotlight for 2026
Renewed global fund flows are redirecting investor attention and capital to Southeast Asian markets for 2026.
The Week Ahead
The Weekend Signal
The dominant development was intensified Russian strikes on Odessa aimed at throttling Ukraine’s economy. That is a concrete supply-shock and geopolitical-risk signal going into a thin, year-end trading window: it raises the odds of near-term oil and shipping-price volatility and doses of risk aversion. For the week ahead that means any surprise jump in oil or insurance premia will have an outsized effect on cyclical assets and on real-yield sensitive sectors, while safe-haven flows could press core yields lower and nudge FX into dollar strength.
Secondary signals: Indonesia’s plan to revamp money-market benchmark rates adds an EM liquidity story that could amplify regional moves if implemented quickly. Together these items make this week more about reaction to event-driven flows than a steady macro trend.
The Macro Setup
Risk gauges look subdued but fragile: VIX sits at 13.6 (up 0.97% day, down 8.8% week) while the US 10-year yield is 4.14 and Germany 10-year 2.86, both modestly softer week-over-week; EURIBOR 3M at 2.0 remains depressed. EUR/USD is flat at 1.18. The mix — low realized volatility, slightly falling yields and a neutral euro — signals market complacency that could be quickly punctured by geopolitical or commodity surprises.
The Calendar
Key prints concentrate on Tuesday (Jan 6): ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI and its subcomponents at 15:00 ET (previous PMI 52.6; prior employment 48.9, new orders 52.9), an ISM beat would risk re-steepening yields and tightening financial conditions while a miss would reinforce the softer-yield, cautious backdrop. Brazil’s trade balance posts at 18:00 and the API crude inventory update is due 21:30 ET — both can move commodity-sensitive FX and oil. Dairy auctions/GlobalDairyTrade on the same day add another possible commodity impulse. No major corporate earnings are scheduled this week.
Key Events This Week
| Date | Region | Event | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 01/06 | DE | Hesse CPI | 🔴 High |
| Tue 01/06 | UK | CPI | 🔴 High |
| Tue 01/06 | DE | CPI | 🔴 High |
View Full Calendar
Macro Dashboard
| Indicator | Level | Δ d/d | Δ w/w | 52W Range | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VIX | 13.6 | +0.97% | -8.79% | 13.47–17.62 | 📉 Subdued |
| EUR/USD | 1.18 | 0.0% | — | — | Neutral |
| EURIBOR 3M | 2.0% | -1.96% | -3.85% | 2.0–2.1 | 📉 Easing |
| US 10Y | 4.14% | 0.0% | -0.48% | 4.12–4.18 | Neutral |
| DE 10Y | 2.86% | 0.0% | -1.38% | 2.85–2.9 | 📉 Offered |
Premium
*Premium* — Key Levels to Watch
*Premium* — EU DeepList Watch
*Premium* — US DeepList Watch
*Premium* — Risk Scenarios
📰 Weekend Headlines Recap (6 themes)
Rates, central banks & mortgages
Central-bank signaling and money-market/benchmarks changes that affect the rate path and liquidity in markets.
- BOJ Summary Signals Real Rates Still Low, Pointing to More Hikes — Bloomberg.com, 12/29/2025
- Indonesia Set to Revamp Benchmark Rates for Money Market — Bloomberg.com, 12/28/2025
Macro: labor, consumers & growth
High-level economic growth and macro momentum that set the backdrop for market positioning.
- US economy grows at fastest pace in two years — BBC, 12/23/2025
China/Asia Policy & Markets: Southeast Asia in focus
Renewed global fund flows are redirecting investor attention and capital to Southeast Asian markets for 2026.
- Return of Global Funds Puts Southeast Asia in Spotlight for 2026 — Bloomberg.com, 12/28/2025
Market moves & daily wraps
Short-form market wrap and session-flow headlines covering regional index moves, holiday-thinned trade and commodity effects as the year ends.
- Stocks Climb in Asia, Silver Whipsaws After Record: Markets Wrap — Bloomberg.com, 12/29/2025
- Asian stocks rise, precious metals hit records on Fed rate cut bets — Reuters, 12/29/2025
- Wall St futures muted after strong week; markets in holiday mode — Investing.com, 12/29/2025
- European markets set to start the last trading week of 2025 in flat territory — CNBC, 12/29/2025
- Asia-Pacific markets trade mixed in final week of 2025 — CNBC, 12/28/2025
- Asia markets edge higher amid holiday-thinned trade; gold and silver hit fresh highs — CNBC, 12/25/2025
- Most Gulf markets retreat on weak oil prices — Reuters, 12/28/2025
- In a Wild Year for Markets, Investors Who Did Nothing Did Just Fine — The Wall Street Journal, 12/28/2025
Sectors & corporate movers
Single-name / sector research and outlook pieces highlighting company valuation and sector-specific outlooks.
- CCD: Attractive Valuation But Mixed Outlook Due To Elevated Interest Rates (NASDAQ:CCD) — Seeking Alpha, 12/29/2025
- REM: Favorable Macro Outlook For Mortgage REITs In 2026 (BATS:REM) — Seeking Alpha, 12/29/2025
Other Market News
Additional headlines across various market themes.
- Explainer-Why the Dutch pension fund reform matters for markets By Reuters — Investing.com, 12/29/2025
- Russia is blasting Odessa to throttle Ukraine’s economy — The Economist, 12/28/2025
- Five Reasons to Be Optimistic About the 2026 Economy — Bloomberg.com, 12/26/2025
- The 11 Big Trades of 2025: Bubbles, Cockroaches and a 367% Jump — Bloomberg.com, 12/28/2025
- How to Make Your Economy-Class Seat a Little Less Miserable — The Wall Street Journal, 12/23/2025
- Prediction Markets Could Bring a Tax ‘Loophole’ For Sports Bettors — Barron’s, 12/27/2025
Market Futures
Social Media Buzz
For your reading pleasure, not to be treated as advice of any sort.
- Putin is out to destroy the UK and Europe. If we don’t accept that, we’re doomed — reddit.com/r/europe, 2025-12-28
- Poland “ready to defend western border” with Germany, says president — reddit.com/r/Europe, 2025-12-28
- Weekend Discussion Thread for the Weekend of December 26, 2025 — reddit.com/r/WallStreetBets, 2025-12-26
- Europe’s ‘destructive moral ideas’ could jeopardise nuclear powers, JD Vance says | Euractiv — reddit.com/r/Europe, 2025-12-27
- As 2025 ends, Czechia cuts the last ties to Russian oil and gas — reddit.com/r/Europe, 2025-12-28
- Russian Forces Have Launched a Massive Strike on Kyiv. Dozens Wounded, Fires and Damaged Residential Buildings as the Attack Has Been Ongoing for Around 12 Hours and Is Still Under Way — reddit.com/r/Europe, 2025-12-27
- The Irish government has announced their intention to ban anonymous social media accounts — reddit.com/r/Europe, 2025-12-28
- What Are Your Moves Tomorrow, December 29, 2025 — reddit.com/r/WallStreetBets, 2025-12-28