DeepCap Weekly Wrap
The Week at a Glance
| 🎯 | Theme: Bank of Japan’s rate hike reshinvestors global market dynamics and investor sentiment |
| 📊 | Risk Mood: Cautious (VIX 14.91) |
| 💡 | Key Takeaway: Investor focus on central bank policies suggests volatility may continue as rates adjust. |
| 🔥 | DeepCap Focus: [Premium] See DeepList Weekly Performance → |
Top 5 Headlines That Shaped the Week
-
Bank of Japan raises benchmark rates to highest in 30 years, lifting 10-year JGB yield past 2%
This decision impacted global bond markets and influenced currency valuations, particularly the yen. -
Yen weakens against peers after BOJ raises interest rates
The yen’s decline affected investor sentiment across multiple markets, contributing to broader currency movements. -
ECB upgrades growth outlook, closing door to more cuts
This shift in policy signals stability in the Eurozone, positively influencing European market performance. -
Stocks rise with tech boost, yen weakens after Japan rate hike
The tech sector’s strength drove US indices higher, reflecting investor optimism amid global rate changes. -
Charting the Global Economy: ECB, UK, BOJ Diverge on Rate Moves
Diverging monetary policies among major central banks shinvestord market expectations and investment strategies for the week.
The Week in Review
The Big Picture
This week’s dominant theme was central-bank divergence, with the Bank of Japan’s surprise rate normalization driving cross-asset moves and reshaping yield relationships. The BOJ pushed policy rates to 30-year highs and sent 10-year JGB yields above 2%, prompting yen weakness and a global re-pricing of duration that lifted German 10-year yields to 2.9% while US 10-year yields sat near 4.14%. Equities absorbed the shift: risk appetite held—VIX eased to 14.91—but the backdrop favored carry and cyclical exposure over defensive, low-yield profiles. FX and bond spreads tightened in places; EUR/USD held at 1.17 while short-term European rates (EURIBOR 3M at 2.04) remain comparatively depressed, underlining uneven policy cycles between the US, Europe and Japan.
US Markets
US benchmarks diverged: the S&P 500 rose 0.26%, the Nasdaq gained 1.09% and the Dow fell 0.58%. Tech outperformed, driving the Nasdaq’s edge, while industrials and large-cap value lagged—helping explain the Dow’s dip. Key drivers were the BOJ-led global rates repricing, ongoing corporate earnings that favored select growth names, and political noise as President Trump highlighted economic themes in North Carolina; data and Fed commentary played a supporting role rather than a headline-grabber. Single-stock moves were extreme: Trump Media jumped, Rivian and CoreWeave rallied, while Nike and Warner Bros. Discovery posted notable declines.
EU Markets
European equities outpaced the US marginally: STOXX 600 +0.85%, DAX +0.24%, FTSE 100 +1.5%. The region reacted to the BOJ move via tighter core yields and a firmer backdrop for cyclicals, but ECB and UK rate paths remain the local reference points—investors parsed euro-area growth risks against energy and policy dynamics. The FTSE’s strength reflected commodity and energy components, while German markets showed restraint as bund yields climbed to elevated levels. Political narratives and structural debates in Europe also framed flows, keeping the drumbeat on policy divergence.
5-Day Market Performance
🇺🇸 US Markets
-
S&P 500
+0.26% -
Nasdaq
+1.09% -
Dow Jones
-0.58%
🇪🇺 EU Markets
-
STOXX 600
+0.85% -
DAX
+0.24% -
FTSE 100
+1.5%
Weekly Market Movers
📈 Week’s Top Gainers
- Trump Media & Technology Group — +53.82%
- Amicus Therapeutics, Inc. — +30.33%
- Rivian Automotive, Inc. — +20.05%
- Ondas Holdings Inc. — +19.9%
- CoreWeave, Inc. — +14.72%
- Infosys Limited — +13.72%
- Carnival Corporation — +8.81%
- Wipro Limited — +8.51%
📉 Week’s Top Losers
- Nike, Inc. — -13.38%
- Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. – — -6.53%
- MARA Holdings, Inc. — -4.86%
- Pfizer, Inc. — -4.69%
- Walmart Inc. — -2.08%
- Intel Corporation — -1.84%
- GlobalFoundries Inc. — -1.64%
- Ferrovial SE — -1.57%
Macro Dashboard
| Indicator | Level | Δ d/d | Δ w/w | 52W Range | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VIX | 14.91 | -11.62% | -5.27% | 14.85–17.62 | 📉 Subdued |
| EUR/USD | 1.17 | 0.0% | — | — | Neutral |
| EURIBOR 3M | 2.04% | -0.49% | -2.86% | 2.03–2.1 | 📉 Easing |
| US 10Y | 4.14% | +0.49% | -0.96% | 4.07–4.19 | Neutral |
| DE 10Y | 2.9% | +1.75% | +1.4% | 2.75–2.9 | 📈 Bid |
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⚠️ Weekend Watch
Key developments to monitor before markets reopen:
- Monitor tensions in Eastern Europe as leaders meet over the weekend, impacting energy markets and geopolitical stability.
- Watch for key economic data from Japan on Sunday night, following the recent rate hike and yen fluctuations.
- Pay attention to any pre-announcements from major companies, particularly in tech, as earnings season approaches.
- Listen for comments from Fed officials over the weekend, which may influence market expectations ahead of next week’s meetings.
- Consider options expiry effects on Monday, as positioning may lead to increased volatility in key sectors.
📰 This Week’s Headlines (6 themes)
Rates, Central Banks & Mortgages
Multiple headlines focus on the Bank of Japan’s rate lift and broader central-bank divergence and FX/rates reactions.
- Bank of Japan raises rates to 30-year high, signals more hikes — Reuters
- Yen weakens against peers after BOJ raises interest rates — Reuters
- Charting the Global Economy: ECB, UK, BOJ Diverge on Rate Moves — Bloomberg.com
Rates, Central Banks & Mortgages
Central-bank decisions and interest-rate moves are driving FX, bond and rate-market reactions across the globe.
- Interest rates cut to 3.75% but further reductions to be ‘closer call’ — BBC
- Investors react to BOJ’s decision to hike rates — Reuters
- Yen struggles to exit ‘danger zone’ even as Japan hikes rates — Reuters
- ECB upgrades growth outlook, closing door to more cuts — Reuters
Rates, Central Banks & Mortgages
Coverage driven by central-bank actions, nominations and implications for the rate path and job-market focus.
- Waller had a ‘strong interview’ for Fed chair with Trump as president appears to turn focus to job market — CNBC
- European markets close higher following central bank bonanza — CNBC
Trade & Diplomacy
Policy moves intended to blunt trade friction and tariffs between major economies.
Trade & Diplomacy
International policy moves affecting cross-border finance and collective action among governments.
Other Market News
Additional headlines across various market themes.
- Russia’s Putin says cooling of economy in 2025 is a ‘conscious’ decision — Reuters
- ‘A Singularly Turbulent Time’: Deeper Uncertainty in Store for Global Economy — The New York Times
- ‘I’m terrified I’ll be homeless when my husband, 76, stops working’: We only have $100K. What happens to people like us? — MarketWatch
- Can the West Claw Back the Industrial Jewels It Sold to China? — Bloomberg.com
- Trump seeks to bolster standing on US economy in North Carolina speech — Reuters
- Opinion | The Trump Economy and America’s Bad Mood — The New York Times
- Heading into midterm year, Trump hopes to make economy a winning issue By Reuters — Investing.com
- Stocks rise with tech boost, yen weakens after Japan rate hike — Reuters
- Watch Wall Street Week | 25 Years of Markets — Bloomberg.com
- Watch Emerging Markets Starting Bull Cycle: Jamison — Bloomberg.com
Social Week-in-Review
What the community was discussing this week:
- Airbus moving critical systems away from AWS, Google, and Microsoft citing data sovereignty concerns — reddit.com/r/Europe
- Bulgarian man dies in ICE detention at Northern Michigan facility — reddit.com/r/europe
- ‘This is a wacky number’: Economists Cry Foul as New Government Data Assumes Zero Housing Inflation in Surprising November Drop — reddit.com/r/Economics
- Russian drone crashes in Türkiye’s Izmit province near Istanbul amid escalation – Türkiye Today — reddit.com/r/europe
- Daily Discussion Thread for December 19, 2025 — reddit.com/r/WallStreetBets
- Weather map — reddit.com/r/europe
- Russian Oil Prices Sink Below $35 Per Barrel. Reminder that back in November, the Russian Central Bank stated that if the average price of Russian fell to 35$, the consequences would be catastrophic both for the 2026 budget and the Russian economy. — reddit.com/r/Europe
- Weekend Discussion Thread for the Weekend of December 19, 2025 — reddit.com/r/WallStreetBets