Let's Shape The Future Of Your Investments!
Beat the market with DeepCap's stock picks and investment strategies.
DeepCap Friday Outlook
The Day at a Glance
| π― | Theme: Market reacts to Trump’s mortgage bond strategy ahead of CPI data release. |
| π | Risk Mood: Cautious (VIX 15.45, +0.46%) |
| β° | Key Event: CPI release at 8:30 AM |
| π₯ | DeepCap Focus: [Premium] See DeepList Watch β |
Key Headlines
-
Trump says he’s instructing his ‘Representatives’ to buy $200 billion in mortgage bonds, claiming it will lower rates
Policy-driven pieces addressing mortgage-market intervention and Fed rate expectations. -
Trump says he wants government to buy $200B in mortgage bonds in a push to bring down mortgage rates
Housing-market trends and policy proposals that directly affect mortgage rates, demand and homeownership structures. -
How tariff disruption will continue reshaping the global economy in 2026
Policy and tariff themes reshaping global trade and business tax/backtrack debates.
The Day Ahead
Yesterday’s Takeaway
The market moved on a political shock: the Trump plan to buy $200bn of mortgage bonds propelled debate over direct intervention in credit markets. That pushed defensive sectors higher and knocked tech lower, and it leaves todayβs session sensitive to any follow-up comments or clarity β a renewed focus on credit-market mechanics that could reverberate across rates, mortgages and bank pipelines.
The Setup
Risk is elevated but mixed: VIX sits at 15.45 (making a 52-week high), signalling increased tail-risk pricing while EUR/USD is steady at 1.17. US 10-year yields are roughly 4.18, little changed, while Germanyβs 10-year rose to 2.83 (+0.71%), highlighting a EuropeβUS divergence in rates. Short-term euro funding (EURIBOR 3M) is 2.03 and remains elevated. Equity movers show sector rotation into defence and energy names after yesterdayβs headlines β a directional split that matters more than headline index moves.
Today’s Watch
Key prints arrive late: a slate of CFTC speculative net-position reports for the Nasdaq, gold, FX and commodities at 20:30 will reveal whether positioning has shifted since the headlines; Rwandaβs CPI prints at 12:00 (prior 7.2) and could inform EM sentiment if it surprises. Markets expect position adjustments rather than fresh policy moves; a surprise in CFTC positioning or any new official comment on bond purchases would steer risk-on/-off flows. Focus: positioning unwinds in futures/options and cross-asset price action between US Treasuries, mortgage credit and cyclical versus defensive equities.
Market Movers
π Top Gainers
- Neogen Corporation β +31.57%
- Ondas Holdings Inc. β +15.02%
- PBF Energy Inc. β +13.85%
- Kratos Defense & Security Solut β +13.78%
- Bloom Energy Corporation β +12.81%
- Astronics Corporation β +11.26%
- VNET Group, Inc. β +10.85%
- Karman Holdings Inc. β +10.42%
π Top Losers
- Regencell Bioscience Holdings L β -21.67%
- Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. β -13.26%
- Ciena Corporation β -13.14%
- Teleflex Incorporated β -13.06%
- Acuity Inc. β -12.85%
- Hycroft Mining Holding Corporat β -11.97%
- Centrus Energy Corp. β -11.37%
- Lumentum Holdings Inc. β -11.36%
Key Events Today
| Date | Region | Event | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 01/09 | US | Nonfarm Payrolls Private | π΄ High |
| Fri 01/09 | US | Unemployment Rate | πΈ Med |
| Fri 01/09 | US | U-6 Unemployment Rate | πΈ Med |
View Full Calendar
Fed Speak This Week
- January 9 β Fed Kashkari Speech (Hawk)
- January 9 β Fed Barkin Speech (Neutral)
Macro Dashboard
| Indicator | Level | Ξ d/d | Ξ w/w | 52W Range | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VIX | 15.45 | +0.46% | +3.34% | 13.47β15.45 | β οΈ Elevated |
| EUR/USD | 1.17 | 0.0% | β | β | Neutral |
| EURIBOR 3M | 2.03% | 0.0% | +0.5% | 2.02β2.03 | π Sticky |
| US 10Y | 4.18% | 0.0% | -0.48% | 4.11β4.2 | Neutral |
| DE 10Y | 2.83% | +0.71% | -1.05% | 2.81β2.9 | Neutral |
Premium
*Premium* β DeepCap Conviction
*Premium* β Key Levels to Watch
*Premium* β EU DeepList Watch
*Premium* β US DeepList Watch
*Premium* β Risk Scenarios
π° Yesterday’s Headlines (6 themes)
Rates, Central Banks & Mortgages
Policy-driven pieces addressing mortgage-market intervention and Fed rate expectations.
- Trump says he’s instructing his ‘Representatives’ to buy $200 billion in mortgage bonds, claiming it will lower rates β CNBC, 01/08/2026
- Treasury Secretary Bessent says more Fed rate cuts are ‘only ingredient missing’ for stronger economy β CNBC, 01/08/2026
Rates, Central Banks & Mortgages
Housing-market trends and policy proposals that directly affect mortgage rates, demand and homeownership structures.
- Trump says he wants government to buy $200B in mortgage bonds in a push to bring down mortgage rates β AP News, 01/08/2026
- Mortgage demand drops nearly 10% to end 2025, despite lower interest rates β CNBC, 01/07/2026
- Why Trump is going after institutional homebuyers: They dominate markets like Atlanta, Jacksonville β CNBC, 01/08/2026
Trade & Diplomacy
Policy and tariff themes reshaping global trade and business tax/backtrack debates.
- How tariff disruption will continue reshaping the global economy in 2026 β BBC, 01/08/2026
- More businesses call to be included in pub rates backtrack β BBC, 01/09/2026
Trade & Diplomacy
Headlines about tariffs, trade flows and policy/legal decisions reshaping US trade and market risk.
- The Supreme Court may rule Friday on Trump’s tariffs. Here’s what’s at stake for the economy β CNBC, 01/08/2026
- U.S. Trade Deficit Fell to Lowest Level Since 2009 as Tariffs Reshape Trade β The New York Times, 01/08/2026
Trade & Diplomacy
Headlines linking tariffs and policy/legal rulings to market positioning and sector impact.
- Bessent touts Trumpβs tariffs as markets gird for Supreme Court ruling β MarketWatch, 01/08/2026
Other Market News
Additional headlines across various market themes.
- Morning Bid: A one-two payrolls, tariff sucker punch? β Reuters, 01/09/2026
- Cubaβs Long-Suffering Economy Is Now in βFree Fallβ β The New York Times, 01/07/2026
- Five Things to Watch Beyond Indiaβs World-Beating GDP Growth β Bloomberg.com, 01/09/2026
- South Koreaβs Economy Likely to Grow Faster in 2026 β The Wall Street Journal, 01/09/2026
- South Korea to open FX market around the clock, in bid for MSCI upgrade β Reuters, 01/09/2026
- Donald Trump Is Meddling in Markets. Itβs a Dangerous Line to Cross. β Barron’s, 01/08/2026
- Opinion | Trump Is About to Lose Control of the Economy β The New York Times, 01/07/2026
- FTSE 100 Recovers Ground as Defence Stocks Bounce β Bloomberg.com, 01/09/2026
- Asian Stocks to Rise Before Payrolls, Oil Jumps: Markets Wrap β Bloomberg.com, 01/09/2026
- Tech Drags Stocks Lower as Defense Outperforms: Markets Wrap β Bloomberg.com, 01/08/2026
Market Futures
Social Media Buzz
For your reading pleasure, not to be treated as advice of any sort.
- German president says US is destroying world order β reddit.com/r/Europe, 2026-01-08
- A new poll has found that Germans now distrust the USA almost as much as Russia. Meanwhile, three-quarters see France and the UK as trustworthy partners. β reddit.com/r/europe, 2026-01-08
- Daily Discussion Thread for January 08, 2026 β reddit.com/r/WallStreetBets, 2026-01-08
- The ally Europe feared losing is now the one it fears β reddit.com/r/europe, 2026-01-08
- Trump’s $1.5 trillion military budget would add $5.8 trillion to the national debt, with interest, CRFB says β reddit.com/r/Economics, 2026-01-08
- What Are Your Moves Tomorrow, January 09, 2026 β reddit.com/r/WallStreetBets, 2026-01-08
- 38-year-old Russian journalist who fled there found dead in France – The man fell from the window of his seventh-floor apartment. In his apartment, a chair placed against the window and medication in the trash can were found β reddit.com/r/europe, 2026-01-08
- Swiss bar manager ‘seen escaping with till full of cash’ as deadly fire raged through venue, killing 40 β reddit.com/r/Europe, 2026-01-08